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Discontinuity waves as tipping points : applications to biological & sociological systems.

机译:不连续波作为引爆点:在生物学和社会学系统中的应用。

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摘要

The `tipping point' phenomenon is discussed as a mathematical object, and related to the behaviour of non-linear discontinuity waves in the dynamics of topical sociological and biological problems. The theory of such waves is applied to two illustrative systems in particular: a crowd-continuum model of pedestrian (or traffic) flow; and an hyperbolic reaction-diffusion model for the spread of the hantavirus infection (a disease carried by rodents). In the former, we analyse propagating acceleration waves, demonstrating how blow-up of the wave amplitude might indicate formation of a `human-shock', that is, a `tipping point' transition between safe pedestrian flow, and a state of overcrowding. While in the latter, we examine how travelling waves (of both acceleration and shock type) can be used to describe the advance of a hantavirus infection-front. Results from our investigation of crowd models also apply to equivalent descriptions of traffic flow, a context in which acceleration wave blow-up can be interpreted as emergence of the `phantom congestion' phenomenon, and `stop-start' traffic motion obeys a form of wave propagation.
机译:“临界点”现象作为数学对象进行了讨论,并且与局部社会学和生物学问题的动力学中的非线性不连续波的行为有关。这种波浪理论尤其适用于两个示例性系统:行人(或交通)流的人群连续模型;以及汉坦病毒感染(啮齿动物携带的疾病)传播的双曲反应扩散模型。在前者中,我们分析了传播的加速波,证明了波幅的爆破可能表明形成了“人为冲击”,即安全行人流量和拥挤状态之间的“临界点”过渡。而在后者中,我们研究了行波(加速和冲击型)如何用于描述汉坦病毒感染前沿的进展。我们对人群模型的研究结果也适用于交通流量的等效描述,在这种情况下,加速度波的爆发可以解释为“幻像拥挤”现象的出现,而“停止-启动”交通运动遵循一种形式波传播。

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